House districts / California


California's 45th congressional district

CA-45. Redrawn for 2026: the November 2026 election is on new lines. The outline shows the 2024 district with the same number.

Derek Tran
Current member, elected on the 2024 lines
Derek Tran
Democrat. In office since 2025.
2026 lines2024 lines

Fundraising

6 other 2026 candidates filed reports (primary candidates).

Federal Election Commission, candidate totals, public domain.

President in this district

PollCheck calculation from precinct returns on the 2026 lines (method).

YearDemocratRepublicanOtherMargin2024 lines
2024Harris 50.6%Trump 46.5%2.9%D+4.0D+1.5
2020Biden 54.1%Trump 44.0%1.9%D+10.1D+6.2
2016Clinton 57.9%Trump 36.7%5.5%D+21.2D+13.3

Who lives here

MeasureThis districtUS
People
Population
758,321
Adults (18+)
603,306
Citizens, % of adults*
84.1%
92.1%
Age, % of adults
18 to 29*
19.7%
20.3%
30 to 44*
24.4%
25.9%
45 to 64*
34.3%
31.8%
65 and over*
21.7%
22.0%
Race and Hispanic origin, % of residents
White
20.0%
57.8%
Black
2.4%
12.1%
Hispanic
34.6%
18.7%
Asian
39.2%
5.9%
Other or more than one
3.8%
5.5%
Education and income
Bachelor's degree or higher, % of 25+*
34.6%
35.7%
Median household income*
$102,874
$80,734

* Estimated for the 2026 lines from census blocks (ACS 2020-2024). Population, adults and race: 2020 Census, counted on the 2026 lines. The tick marks the US figure.

Winning margin

Results since 1976

YearWinnerShare Runner-upShareMargin
2024 lines, elections 2022-2024: redrawn for 2026 seat count changed from 53 to 52 after the census
2024Derek Tran Democrat50.1%Michelle Steel Republican49.9%D+0.2
2022Michelle Steel Republican52.4%Jay F. Chen Democrat47.6%R+4.8
Earlier lines, elections 2012-2020 post-census redistricting
2020Katie Porter Democrat53.5%Greg Raths Republican46.5%D+6.9
2018Katie Porter Democrat52.0%Mimi Walters Republican48.0%D+4.1
2016Mimi Walters Republican58.6%Ron Varasteh Democrat41.4%R+17.1
2014Mimi Walters Republican65.1%Drew E. Leavens Democrat34.9%R+30.2
2012John Campbell Republican58.5%Sukhee Kang Democrat41.5%R+16.9
Earlier lines, elections 2002-2010 seat count changed from 52 to 53 after the census
2010Mary Bono Mack Republican51.5%Steve Pougnet Democrat others 6.4%42.1%R+9.3
2008Mary Bono Mack Republican58.3%Julie Bornstein Democrat41.7%R+16.6
2006Mary Bono Republican60.7%David Roth Democrat39.3%R+21.3
2004Mary Bono Republican66.6%Richard J. Meyer Democrat33.4%R+33.2
2002Mary Bono Republican65.2%Elle K. Kurpiewski Democrat others 2.0%32.7%R+32.5
Earlier lines, elections 1992-2000 seat count changed from 45 to 52 after the census
2000Dana Rohrabacher Republican62.1%Ted Crisell Democrat others 5.5%32.4%R+29.7
1998Dana Rohrabacher Republican58.6%Patricia W. Neal Democrat others 4.0%37.3%R+21.3
1996Dana Rohrabacher Republican61.0%Sally J. Alexander Democrat others 5.8%33.2%R+27.7
1994Dana Rohrabacher Republican69.1%Brett Williamson Democrat30.9%R+38.2
1992Dana Rohrabacher Republican54.5%Patricia McCabe Democrat others 6.5%39.0%R+15.5
Earlier lines, elections 1982-1990 seat count changed from 43 to 45 after the census
1990Duncan Hunter Republican72.8%Joe Shea Libertarian27.1%R+45.7
1988Duncan Hunter Republican74.0%Pete Lepiscopo Democrat others 2.0%24.0%R+50.0
1986Duncan Hunter Republican76.9%Hewitt Fitts Ryan Democrat others 1.9%21.2%R+55.7
1984Duncan Hunter Republican75.1%David W. Guthrie Democrat others 2.0%22.9%R+52.3
1982Duncan Hunter Republican68.6%Richard Hill Democrat others 2.2%29.2%R+39.4
CA-45 did not exist before 1982: California had 43 districts in 1976-1980.

More on California

Other California districts

About these results

Shares count all candidate votes, including write-ins, with a candidate's votes on several party lines added together. Each result is on the lines in force at the time. Mid-decade redraws before 2016 may be unmarked.

President in this district: 2016 and 2020, and 2024 on the new lines, are estimates: precinct votes are split between districts by census block. The last column is the margin in CA-45 on the 2024 lines.

Counties only partly inside the district show the 2024 result for that part; estimates are labelled.

Margin chart: winner minus runner-up. Gaps are unopposed races; dashed lines are new district lines.

Who lives here (2026 lines) is estimated from Census survey figures split by population.

Sources

Results: MIT Election Data and Science Lab, U.S. House 1976-2016 (doi:10.7910/DVN/IG0UN2, CC0; via MEDSL/constituency-returns), and Clerk of the US House, Statistics of the Presidential and Congressional Election 2018-2024 (public domain).

Presidential results: PollCheck calculation from MIT Election Data and Science Lab 2024 precinct returns (doi:10.7910/DVN/XDJYKC, doi:10.7910/DVN/USBYR4, CC0; state totals doi:10.7910/DVN/42MVDX, CC0) and Voting and Election Science Team 2016 and 2020 precinct results and shapes (doi:10.7910/DVN/NH5S2I, doi:10.7910/DVN/K7760H, CC BY 4.0), with US Census Bureau 2020 block populations and block equivalency files (public domain). Official figures: Texas Legislative Council (2024 on the 2026 lines); Louisiana, New Jersey, California and Washington election offices (county totals). Certified results transcribed by Wikipedia (CC BY-SA 4.0): Maine 2024 by district: 2024 United States presidential election in Maine (revision 1382530995); Indiana county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Indiana (revision 1382505975); Oregon county totals: 2024 United States presidential election in Oregon (revision 1382605746).

District lines: US Census Bureau TIGER/Line 2026 (120th Congress) and 2025 cartographic boundary files (119th Congress), public domain.

Members: unitedstates/congress-legislators (CC0).

Counties: US Census Bureau 2024 cartographic boundary file (public domain); 2024 county results summed from the same MEDSL precinct returns, with the official county totals above.

Demographics: US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 5-year estimates 2020-2024; 2020 Census P.L. 94-171 (public domain).

2028 candidates: Federal Election Commission (public domain).

Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.

PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits