2028 candidates / JD Vance

JD Vance
1st in the national Republican primary average at 37.4%. Updated November 5, 2026.
Primary averages
- National Republican primary1st of 8 candidates; 10 polls in 60 days37.4%
- Florida Republican primary1st of 4 candidates; 3 polls in 180 days35.2%
- New Hampshire Republican primary1st of 6 candidates; 5 polls in 180 days37.8%
Head-to-head polls
| Opponent | Vance | Opponent | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin NewsomPollCheck average, 5 of 19 polls used | 40.6 | 43.9 | D+3.3 |
| Alexandria Ocasio-CortezPollCheck average, 5 of 10 polls used | 42.7 | 42.0 | R+0.7 |
| Kamala HarrisPollCheck average, 3 of 8 polls used | 43.6 | 48.4 | D+4.8 |
| Pete Buttigieg4 polls, no average; latest YouGov, Oct 10-14, 2026 | 36 | 38 | D+2 |
| Mark Cuban1 poll, no average; latest YouGov, Oct 10-14, 2026 | 34 | 39 | D+5 |
| Jon Ossoff1 poll, no average; latest Emerson College, Aug 16-17, 2026 | 44 | 49 | D+5 |
| Josh Shapiro1 poll, no average; latest On Point/SoCal Strategies, Dec 23, 2024 | 37 | 34 | R+3 |
| Stephen A. Smith1 poll, no average; latest On Point/SoCal Strategies, Aug 18, 2025 | 37 | 35 | R+2 |
| Gretchen Whitmer1 poll, no average; latest On Point/SoCal Strategies, Dec 23, 2024 | 40 | 33 | R+7 |
Sources
Primary polls adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383595386) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Republican Party presidential primaries (revision 1383421160) - Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1382682450) - Statewide opinion polling for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries (revision 1383419384). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Poll lists adapted from Wikipedia: Nationwide opinion polling for the 2028 United States presidential election (revision 1383801796). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0; PollCheck averages are derived from them.
Office from Wikipedia (JD Vance (revision 1383735648)). Licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0.
Photos: official portraits, public domain (US government); see Photo credits.
PollCheck US. Data through November 5, 2026. Photo credits